ANALYSIS Unlucky Man United? Alternative Premier League table after seven games, based on xG

A draw between Manchester United and Arsenal at Old Trafford rounded off another weekend of football in the Premier League.

The Gunners snatched a draw thanks to
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s goal, which cancelled out Scott McTominay’s excellent opener.
Aubameyang and his team-mates celebrate at Old Trafford
In retrospect, the result was just about right with the Red Devils perhaps dominating but the Gunners having the better chances, something backed up by the underlying statistics.
Some results have been deserved this season but on other occasions clubs look like they have been a little bit lucky with the results falling their way.
Arsenal, according to ‘expected goals’ (xG), could have beaten Man United with data suggesting the shot quality was worth a 1.70-1.13 win for Unai Emery’s side.
To get a better look at how sides are doing, the xG metric allows us to get a better picture of just how teams are performing.
What is expected goals?
Here at talkSPORT.com we’re always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their stats.

And it turns out Manchester United might well feel aggrieved to be in 10th position in the real table.
Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
20. Newcastle United – Real position = 19
Real points = 5 | Expected points = 4.63
19. Norwich – Real position = 17
Real points = 6 | Expected points = 5.98
Norwich stunned Manchester City earlier this season
18. Aston Villa – Real position = 18
Real points = 5 | Expected points = 6.87
17. West Ham United – Real position = 5
Real points = 12 | Expected points = 6.98
16. Bournemouth – Real position = 8
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 7.40
15. Crystal Palace – Real position = 18
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 7.79
Wilfried Zaha is getting up to full speed this season
14. Watford – Real position = 20
Real points = 2 | Expected points = 8.52
13. Brighton – Real position = 16
Real points = 6 | Expected points = 8.64
12. Arsenal – Real position = 4
Real points = 12 | Expected points = 8.93
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang saved the Gunners against Manchester United
11. Wolves – Real position = 13
Real points = 7 | Expected points = 9.09
10. Sheffield United – Real position = 12
Real points = 8 | Expected points = 9.10
Henderson’s mistake cost Sheffield United a point against Liverpool
9. Burnley – Real position = 11
Real points = 9 | Expected points = 9.61
8. Everton – Real position = 15
Real points = 7 | Expected points = 9.70
Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s header kept the Toffees in their match with Man City but they eventually lost 3-1
7. Southampton – Real position = 14
Real points = 7 | Expected points = 10.64
6. Tottenham Hotspur – Real position = 6
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 10.72
Tanguy Ndombele is starting to look the part for Tottenham
5. Leicester City – Real position = 3
Real points = 14 | Expected points = 10.75
Ricardo Pereira is in fine goalscoring form for Leicester
4. Chelsea – Real position = 7
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 13.24
Willian produced a Man-of-the-Match display against Brighton on Saturday
3. Liverpool – Real position = 1
Real points = 21 | Expected points = 13.72

Liverpool are five points clear in the Premier League
2. Manchester United – Real position = 10
Real points = 9 | Expected points = 14.40
Scott McTominay should have won the game for Manchester United but he blasted a free header over from close range
1. Manchester City – Real position = 2
Real points = 16 | Expected points = 16.72
City’s win over Everton was a huge boost
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Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

Here at Naijaon.com we’re always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their stats.
And it turns out Manchester United might well feel aggrieved to be in 10th position in the real table.
Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
20. Newcastle United – Real position = 19
Real points = 5 | Expected points = 4.63
19. Norwich – Real position = 17
Real points = 6 | Expected points = 5.98

Wilfried Zaha is getting up to full speed this season
14. Watford – Real position = 20
Real points = 2 | Expected points = 8.52
13. Brighton – Real position = 16
Real points = 6 | Expected points = 8.64
12. Arsenal – Real position = 4
Real points = 12 | Expected points = 8.93
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang saved the Gunners against Manchester United
11. Wolves – Real position = 13
Real points = 7 | Expected points = 9.09
10. Sheffield United – Real position = 12
Real points = 8 | Expected points = 9.10



Henderson’s mistake cost Sheffield United a point against Liverpool
9. Burnley – Real position = 11
Real points = 9 | Expected points = 9.61
8. Everton – Real position = 15
Real points = 7 | Expected points = 9.70
Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s header kept the Toffees in their match with Man City but they eventually lost 3-1
7. Southampton – Real position = 14
Real points = 7 | Expected points = 10.64

6. Tottenham Hotspur – Real position = 6
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 10.72

Tanguy Ndombele is starting to look the part for Tottenham
5. Leicester City – Real position = 3
Real points = 14 | Expected points = 10.75
Ricardo Pereira is in fine goalscoring form for Leicester
4. Chelsea – Real position = 7
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 13.24


Willian produced a Man-of-the-Match display against Brighton on Saturday
3. Liverpool – Real position = 1
Real points = 21 | Expected points = 13.72



Liverpool are five points clear in the Premier League
2. Manchester United – Real position = 10
Real points = 9 | Expected points = 14.40


Scott McTominay should have won the game for Manchester United but he blasted a free header over from close range
1. Manchester City – Real position = 2
Real points = 16 | Expected points = 16.72






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